Monday, 31 December 2007

Happy New Year

New Year just round the corner. Wish everyone a prosperous Year ahead and may everyone do well in the market.
It'll be a year of sharing for me ahead, to share my journey in trading, with this journal.
The past few weeks is too good to be true. Did I discovered the winning formula? The accuracy of trade is way too good to believe at 100%. The risk/reward averaged about 3.5R.
This is the first time that I trade with an perceivable target in mind, its a good feeling when you do have a predetermined Stop and Target in sight, you feel that you're in control. This is a total change from my earlier endeavor in the market, where I was thought to take fixed 1 point target and fixed 1 point stop or logical stop at last support/resistance. Market is dynamic, Fixed target/stop is not realistic, market don't swing with fixed magnitude, the swing could ranges from 0.5 ticks to 2 points. With fixed stop/target, I often got stop out before market move in flavor of my trade when the swing is big. A side effect is also leaving lots of money on the table, seeing price move many more points in my flavor and not riding it.
With help of Fibonacci, I'm now able to set realistic stop/target, often hitting 2-3 points target with 0.5-1 point stop. I'm happy so far.
Having traded long enough, I know that market changes in behavior over time. What works now may not work 2 months down the road. Well, I'll need to keep my fingers crossed and try this out for some more time.

Saturday, 29 December 2007

Risky Trade

@12:05 Short 780.9, Stop 781.7, Target 777.8, RR 0.8/3.1, R 3.875
This trade was nearly taken out as I queue early. should observe price in future and enter when price is moving in the direction of trade.
Move stop to 2 ticks profit once price move below last support. There were some retracement before hitting the target.

Friday, 28 December 2007

Early Gap Trade

@9:50 Short 786.3, Stop 787.3, Target 782.7, RR 1/3.6, R 3.6
Market Gap up during market open. As trend was down, it is typical for price to cover Gap. Which it worked out exactly as expected.

Thursday, 27 December 2007

Testing Time


Price has pushed through 800 Resistance and is consolidating along the uptrend channel.
Reasonable assumption is for price to bounce off this channel.
Will still look for Long trade for today. Hope to see price touching 806
9:50 Market didn't play out like what I expected. It went below the channel line and now the support becomes resistance. Short 799.4, Stop 801.4, Target 792.6, RR 2/6.8, R3.4

Riding the uptrend














Riding the Christmas Rally. Couple of trades possible.
@10:16 : Long 794.7, Stop 794.2, Target 795.9, RR 0.5/1.2, R 2.4
@12:23 : Long 794.3, Stop 793.9, Target 795.5, RR 0.5/1.2, R 2.4
The second trade has eventually gave 10pts (20R) return.














@15:14 : Short 803.0, Stop 803.8, Target 800.9, RR 0.8/2.1, R 2.625

Wednesday, 26 December 2007

Holiday rally














Didn't trade on holiday eve. Looking back, a good trade at 12 noon.
Enter 796.8, stop 796.0, target 799.0
RR 0.8/2.2

Friday, 21 December 2007

Further uptrend











More uptrend, from ER2 daily chart. price is going to test 786. The cross point between upper and lower trendlines.














9:50 - Short @ 986.1, stop 986.4, target 984.7, RR 0.3/1.4














10:09 - Long @ 784.0, stop 783.4, target 785.7, RR 0.6/1.7

Thursday, 20 December 2007

Trending Up

















After some heavy fall with subprime woo. market is showing much effort in regaining upswing momentum.
emini2000 ER2. Daily chart shows consolidation into a closing wedge.
basing on fibo. it is trying to hit 769 (.5 retracement)
3min chart show similar potential at 768 too (1.272)

Afternote - price did hit 768.4 before turning.